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What is PCPI?

The Polar Climate Predictability Initiative (PCPI) is an initiative of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), whose goal is to improve the understanding of the predictability of climate and the effect of human activities on climate. The PCPI has a focus on polar regions and their role in the global climate system, and aims to improve predictability of the climate system on all time scales by improving our understanding of the underlying physical mechanisms and their representation in climate models.

The PCPI will accomplish this task by co-ordinating the efforts of the international science community, bringing together the different elements of the WCRP, and working closely with other international agencies such as the World Weather Research Programme's Polar Prediction Project (WWRP - PPP). The focus here is not on prediction of the climate system, but instead on finding elements of the climate system that contribute to predictability, and how these processes may be improved in models.

The PCPI complements existing efforts by bringing together expertise on the modelling aspects of the climate. It is an initiative of the WCRP under the the Grand Challenge "Cryosphere in a Changing Climate".

Co-leads: Julie Jones (University of Sheffield, UK; link to CliC) and Marilyn Raphael (UCLA, USA; link to SPARC)

The PCPI is supported by the Climate and Cryosphere Project (CliC) and Stratosphere-troposphere Processes And their Role in Climate Project (SPARC), two core projects of the WCRP.

EGU Polar Climate Predictability and Prediction: Call for Abstracts

CL3.4/AS1.4/CR6.5/OS1.9
Polar Climate Predictability and Prediction (co-organized)

Convener: Neven-Stjepan Fuckar
Co-Conveners: Cecilia Bitz, Virginie Guemas, Ed Hawkins, Matthieu Chevallier, Torben Koenigk, Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Rym Msadek

The Arctic sea ice cover and many other elements of the cryosphere are experiencing significant changes over the modern observational era. The polar climate is crucial for the Earth’s energy and water budget, and its variability and change have direct socio-economic impacts. However, most of climate models are not yet in position to provide us with accurate predictions of polar climate. We welcome presentations advancing understanding of the mechanisms that control polar climate variability on sub-seasonal to multi-decadal timescales and climate change. We encourage submissions that examine sources of polar climate predictability in a hierarchy of models, and link polar processes and predictions with mid- and low-latitude climate. We look forward to studies using remote sensing data, field observations, proxy data, theory and numerical models encompassing climate projections, reanalyses and forecast systems. This session aims to further connection between the atmospheric, oceanic and cryospheric research and operational communities.

Abstract Submission: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/session/18184
Deadline for submission: 7 January 2015, 1300 CET